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NewsTopic · 铠侠NAND超级周期Material2 min readDisconfirmAI Editorial

Kioxia Declares NAND 'Super-Cycle' as 2027 Capacity Sells Out, Net Profit Jumps 37-Fold

Kioxia reports record earnings driven by AI demand, with executives confirming a NAND super-cycle and full allocation of 2027 production capacity.

2026-11-02 19:00 GMT+8

Japanese semiconductor manufacturer Kioxia Holdings reported record financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2027 (April–September 2026) on October 30, 2026. The company announced that cumulative sales reached ¥4.2471 trillion, approximately 5.4 times higher than the previous year, while Non-GAAP net profit surged to ¥2.2356 trillion, marking a roughly 37-fold increase. This dramatic growth was primarily driven by rising prices and increased shipment volumes of NAND flash memory chips.

During the earnings briefing, Executive Vice President Yoshiko Kawamura explicitly stated that the NAND market has entered a period of accelerated growth fueled by artificial intelligence. "We are clearly in a super-cycle," Kawamura said, noting that robust demand from data centers and enterprise storage is offsetting softness in the smartphone and PC markets. He projected that this strong demand would persist through 2028.

The tightness in supply and demand is evidenced by the company's capacity allocation status. According to Kioxia, nearly all production capacity for 2027 has already been assigned to customers. For 2028, more than 50% of the storage capacity shipments have been secured through Long-Term Agreements (LTAs). This high level of order visibility provides significant reassurance regarding the durability of AI-driven storage demand.

Structurally, SSD and storage applications accounted for 65% of total revenue, with data center and enterprise segments comprising about 60% of that share. While smart device revenue also hit a record high, its growth was largely price-driven rather than volume-driven. This shift underscores the role of AI servers as the primary pillar supporting profitability in the NAND industry.

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Sources

  • eetimes.itmedia.co.jpEE Times Japan↗
  • asahi.com朝日新聞↗
Topic

铠侠NAND超级周期

日本存储厂商铠侠(Kioxia Holdings)在2026年11月初公布创纪录财报,宣布NAND闪存市场进入“超级周期”。公司副社长河村芳彦指出,受AI数据中心需求驱动,2027年产能已全部分配完毕(SOLD OUT),2028年超50%…

4 steps1 piecesUpdated 2026-11-02 17:01

How it got here

  1. 2026-06-02铠侠在投资者日活动中预测NAND市场将经历结构性供应短缺,超级周期至少延续至2028年,并计划通过长期协议(LTA)锁定未来产能。kioxia-holdings.com ↗
  2. 2026-10-30铠侠发布2027财年第二季度(2026年7-9月)财报,营收和净利润创历史新高。副社长河村芳彦宣布2027年产能已售罄,并首次宣布每股90日元的中间股息。eetimes.itmedia.co.jp ↗
  3. 2026-10-31受铠侠保守的下季度利润指引及NAND价格涨幅放缓信号影响,SanDisk股价下跌超过11%,美光科技也承压下跌。finance.yahoo.com ↗

What is still unsettled

  • NAND平均售价(ASP)的环比涨幅是否会进一步收窄,还是将在高位企稳?
  • 大型云服务商(Hyperscalers)是否会因成本压力而调整AI基础设施支出节奏,从而影响2027年的实际订单执行?
  • 铠侠计划中的北上工厂第三制造栋(K3)能否按时在2029财年投产以缓解潜在的供应瓶颈?
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