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NewsTopic · AI债券收益率竞争1 min read·2026-10-14

Goldman Sachs Podcast: Tony Pasquariello on Bond Market Risks and Equity Hedging

Goldman Sachs' 'The Markets' podcast features an episode with Tony Pasquariello, Global Head of Hedge Fund Coverage in FICC and Equities, discussing the impact of rising Treasury yields on equities and potential hedging strategies. This resource is suitable for investors interested in the link between macro rates and equity assets.

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2026-09-25 12:00 GMT+8

Goldman Sachs' official channel 'The Markets' published a video interview on September 25, 2026, featuring Tony Pasquariello, Global Head of Hedge Fund Coverage in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities. The episode focuses on whether the bond market poses the biggest risk to further equity gains, given that US 10-Year Treasury yields have climbed to their highest level since 2007.

In the program, Pasquariello suggests that shorting bonds could serve as a useful hedge for stock investments. He notes that while S&P 500 earnings growth has been strong enough to prevent stretched valuations, this increase may begin to taper off, potentially slowing US stock returns from their double-digit annual pace. He also identifies opportunities in Japan’s TOPIX index, driven by shareholder reforms and government spending on defense and industrialization.

Sources

  • 原始出处youtube.com↗
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AI债券收益率竞争

2026年,人工智能基础设施建设的巨额资本支出正通过债券市场融资,彻底重塑全球信贷格局并推高主权与 corporate 债券收益率。截至8月,AI相关债务发行量已接近5000亿美元,其中超大规模云服务商占比约40%。这一趋势导致科技巨头在拥…

6 steps4 piecesUpdated 2026-10-18 10:44

How it got here

  1. 2026-06-29高盛分析师Max Lukianchikov指出,四大科技巨头年内已发行超过1700亿美元公司债,远超去年全年总和,但信用利差仍处历史低位,因投资者更关注绝对收益率而非信用风险。
  2. 2026-07-28摩根大通资产管理发布报告称,美国科技板块投资级债券净发行量已达1920亿美元,占所有IG净发行的27%,预计2030年累计可达2.1万亿美元以支持5.5万亿AI资本支出。
  3. 2026-08-05高盛研究部Amanda Lynam确认,2026年至今AI相关债务发行总额估计接近5000亿美元,强调这是多年期、主题集中的供应浪潮,需多市场协同消化。

What is still unsettled

  • AI相关资本支出的回报率能否支撑当前的低信用利差,还是会在盈利不及预期时引发剧烈重定价?
  • 随着被动指数中AI发行人权重增加,单一负面冲击是否会通过再平衡机制放大市场波动?
  • 美联储新主席的沟通框架变化如何影响市场对中性利率的预期,进而改变AI借贷成本的长期路径?

Also in this thread

  • Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Credit Trading Alex Finston Discusses Rising Rates and AI Issuance Impact on Credit Markets2026-10-16
  • Citi Macro Strategist Dirk Willer on Trading the AI Bubble: The Meb Faber Show Episode #6542026-10-16
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