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NewsMaterial2 min readDisconfirmAI Editorial

Scott Alexander of AI Blog Astral Codex Ten: Why OpenAI Astra’s Layer Recurrence Alarms the Safety Community—Technical Equivalence Does Not Equal Normative Safety

OpenAI Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki argues that the Astra model gains only twice the computational depth of GPT-4 through its recurrent layers, with no alignment difference compared to building a larger Transformer directly. In a September 2026 article, Scott Alexander explains why this technical defense may be insufficient from a governance perspective: if the safety community lacks clear taboo boundaries regarding layer recurrence, each breach justified by “just a few more layers” erodes the taboo itself.

Verified 2026-10-25 15:41 GMT+8

OpenAI released the Astra model in September 2026, adopting a new architecture that loops its own internal Transformer layers rather than writing intermediate reasoning results as English ‘chain-of-thought’ notes as it did in the past.

To understand this debate, one must first distinguish between three types of reasoning. The first is a standard Transformer with a limited number of layers, which must write out its intermediate reasoning as readable chain-of-thought text. The second is a model like Astra that uses recurrence to simulate more layers, performing more computation within a single forward pass without outputting chain-of-thought. The third is ‘true neuralese,’ which uses no chain-of-thought at all; the AI can think secretly for an arbitrary duration, undetectable by humans.

The defense offered by OpenAI Chief Scientist Jakub Pachocki is that Astra’s computation graph depth is only about twice that of GPT-4, meaning there is no alignment difference from a technical standpoint compared to directly building an 180-layer Transformer. Over the past few years, companies have been adding layers: GPT-2 had 48 layers, GPT-3 had 96, and GPT-4 had approximately 120; no one claimed these were dangerous. Astra simply achieves similar depth through recurrence.

Alexander argues that this technical argument may be correct on its merits: recurrent layers are indeed less effective than truly new layers because recurrence merely reuses the same knowledge repeatedly, whereas new layers provide additional storage capacity to accommodate more knowledge and modes of thought.

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Alexander cites Linchuan Zhang’s argument on LessWrong that ‘categorical taboos are better than threshold taboos’: taboos only remain effective when their boundaries are clear. Each breach justified by being ‘just a little bit over’ pushes the bright line further back.

Alexander concludes with three potential governance directions: First, establish a taboo against layer recurrence (simulated layers) itself, regardless of whether other companies are building deeper real models. Second, agree on a maximum layer cap (real or simulated), such as 1,000 layers. Third, researchers should jointly define the components of ‘true neuralese’ and agree not to implement them.

It is worth noting that Alexander himself admits that the capability gains from breaking these taboos currently appear limited. However, he also mentions that some researchers believe Astra’s actual performance exceeds expectations for known architectures, and OpenAI has not provided a sufficient explanation for this discrepancy.

The core contribution of this analysis lies not in predicting whether Astra is dangerous, but in clarifying a frequently confused distinction: technical equivalence (recurrent layers being similar to real layers in computational depth) does not equal normative safety (taboos require clear boundaries to be maintained).

Sources

  • readscottalexander.comRead Scott Alexander↗
  • askwhocastsai.substack.com↗
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