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NewsTopic · 人形机器人人才瓶颈3 min read·2026-10-18

RoboStrategy CEO Andrew Kang: Humanoid Robot Industry Will Consolidate Due to Talent Scarcity, With Only a Few Winners Emerging

Andrew Kang, CEO of closed-end fund RoboStrategy, argues that despite over a hundred humanoid robot companies in the US, the industry will ultimately see only a few winners due to the extreme global scarcity of top-tier interdisciplinary experts. He favors Tesla, Figure AI, and Apptronik, noting that capital is not the primary bottleneck, but rather the difficulty of aggregating sufficient specialized talent.

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2026-10-16 09:35 GMT+8

As humanoid robot technology advances rapidly, a large number of startups have emerged in the market. However, Andrew Kang, CEO of RoboStrategy, a closed-end investment fund focused on robotics, presents a counter-intuitive view: this booming industry will not produce dozens of winners, but only a few companies will achieve overwhelming success. Kang argues that the key factor determining success is not the amount of capital, but the extreme scarcity of professional knowledge and industry talent.

According to statistics, there are currently 112 companies in the US engaged in humanoid robot manufacturing, component supply, software, and artificial intelligence, while China has over a hundred similar companies. Despite the numerous competitors, Kang truly favors only three: Tesla, Figure AI, and Apptronik. He points out that running a top-tier robotics company requires experts in machine learning, behavior control, computer vision, limb engineering, battery engineering, and product management simultaneously. However, globally, there may only be a few hundred people with these top-level professional capabilities. Gathering these scarce talents from different fields into one company while raising billions of dollars is extremely difficult.

This means that while software development can scale and capital can be sourced from multiple channels, the supply of physical AI experts cannot expand quickly. This talent bottleneck leads to natural industry consolidation. Kang cautiously states that companies not favored do not necessarily mean total failure, but only a few enterprises can overcome the barrier of talent aggregation to launch humanoid robots that can truly manipulate objects and understand the real world, developing into sufficiently large businesses.

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Among the three companies Kang named, Tesla faces skepticism due to its Optimus robot's technical performance lagging behind Figure AI and Apptronik. Kang explains that Tesla's current lag is primarily because CEO Elon Musk is "too busy," with attention dispersed across multiple companies. He believes that once Musk focuses his attention on the robotics project, leveraging Tesla's accumulated advantages in motor, actuator, and battery technology from its automotive manufacturing business, along with ample capital and AI computing resources, it is only a matter of time for Optimus to catch up. Kang emphasizes that observing a company's past performance is the best indicator for predicting future results, and while Musk's companies often face delivery delays, they ultimately achieve technological breakthroughs others cannot.

Notably, RoboStrategy's actual portfolio does not include Tesla stock, setting Apptronik at 14.2% and Figure AI at 13.8%. The largest holding in the fund is actually Standard Bots, focused on industrial automation, accounting for 31.4%. This indicates that Kang's argument is more about long-term industry structure than short-term stock price predictions for a single public company. He predicts that millions of humanoid robots will emerge between 2028 and 2029, and by around 2030, they will be common in many households. However, this adoption process depends on infrastructure and manufacturing readiness, as producing physical robots is far more complex and time-consuming than generating AI chatbots.

Sources

  • 原文与论证techorange.com↗
Topic

人形机器人人才瓶颈

人形机器人行业正面临严峻的人才结构性短缺,尽管资本涌入推动估值飙升,但全球具备顶尖跨领域能力的专家仅数百人,导致产业整合加速且赢家寥寥。

6 steps1 piecesUpdated 2026-10-18 04:43

How it got here

  1. 2025-12-13Figure AI CEO Brett Adcock 披露公司三年收到17万份求职申请,仅录用不足500人,凸显极端人才稀缺。
  2. 2026-01-24智联招聘数据显示,2025年Q2中国人形机器人相关岗位需求同比增长398.1%,算法类人才最为紧缺。
  3. 2026-03-07中国工信部公布数据:国内人形机器人制造商超140家,AgiBot 2025年交付量占全球39%,但行业仍处研发验证阶段。

What is still unsettled

  • 特斯拉 Optimus 团队能否在马斯克注意力回归后,迅速缩小与 Figure AI 在AI泛化能力上的差距?
  • 随着高校新设机器人课程,未来3-5年内是否能有效缓解硬件与算法人才的双重短缺?
  • 中国厂商凭借供应链优势占据全球大部分出货量,但在顶尖算法人才储备上是否仍落后于美国初创公司?
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