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NewsTopic · AWS增长前景争议1 min read·2026-10-20DisconfirmAI Editorial

Morgan Stanley Raises Amazon Price Target to $350, Cites Under-Appreciated AWS Runway

Morgan Stanley names Amazon a top pick and raises its price target to $350, forecasting 47% AWS growth in 2027 as stock jumps over 5%.

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Original publication time 2026-10-19 21:05 GMT+8

Morgan Stanley released a report on October 19, 2026, naming Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) a top pick and raising its price target from $335 to $350. Following this news, Amazon's shares rose more than 5% on Monday.

The investment firm argues that Amazon Web Services' (AWS) growth and profit runway remain under-appreciated by the market. Analysts increased their projected AWS growth rate for 2027 to 47%, up from 41%, and forecast year-over-year growth of 47% and 42% for 2027 and 2028 respectively. The report cites Nvidia's earlier disclosure that 2 million GPUs are headed to AWS as a key catalyst for re-accelerating growth.

Regarding profitability, Morgan Stanley expects AWS to operate as a 'rule of 90' company in 2027 and 2028, with operating margins reaching 42% to 44%. Based on these assumptions, analysts project Amazon could generate approximately $16.50 in earnings per share (EPS) in 2028. Other potential drivers mentioned include greater visibility into Bedrock services, agentic shopping tests during the holiday season, and the ramp-up of robotics in fulfillment centers.

Morgan Stanley emphasized that Meta's launch of Muse does not alter its view of Amazon as a 'key agentic enabler and winner.' The firm believes Amazon's e-commerce infrastructure and loyal user base position it well to monetize agentic commerce.

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Topic

AWS增长前景争议

亚马逊云科技(AWS)的增长前景成为华尔街分歧焦点。摩根士丹利于2026年10月将亚马逊列为首选股,目标价上调至350美元,核心逻辑是AWS增速将在2027年加速至47%,远超市场此前预期。这一判断建立在英伟达向AWS交付约200万块GPU…

4 steps1 piecesUpdated 2026-10-20 11:49

How it got here

  1. 2026-02-05亚马逊公布2025年第四季度财报,AWS营收同比增长24%,创13个季度最快增速,但公司宣布2026年资本支出预计达2000亿美元,股价盘后一度下跌8-10%。
  2. 2026-03-22GeekWire回顾AWS成立20周年,指出其年收入近1290亿美元,但在AI时代面临微软、谷歌等竞争对手的挑战,市场对其长期领导地位产生疑问。
  3. 2026-08-07Cloud Wars发布分析,对比2025年Q2数据,显示AWS增速(17.5%)低于微软(27%)、谷歌云(32%)和甲骨文(27%),批评亚马逊CEO贾西对竞争劣势的解释缺乏说服力。

What is still unsettled

  • 2026年10月29日发布的第三季度财报中,AWS实际增速是否印证摩根士丹利的加速预期?
  • 高达2000亿美元的年度资本支出计划,是否会持续压制亚马逊的自由现金流并影响估值?
  • Bedrock平台及代理式购物功能在2026年假日季能否实现显著的营收转化?
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