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NewsTopic · 欧元区央行黄金迁回Material3 min readDisconfirmAI Editorial

Federal Reserve FEDS Note: Euro Area Central Banks Relocate Gold from the U.S. Without Reducing U.S. Dollar Reserves

In a FEDS note, Federal Reserve staff member Colin Weiss examines cases where Germany, the Netherlands, and France relocated gold reserves from the United States since 2013, finding that these central banks did not significantly reduce their share of U.S. dollars in foreign exchange reserves during the relocation, contrasting with Russia and Turkey, which substantially cut dollar holdings while moving gold.

2026-11-10 01:30 GMT+8

Does the relocation of gold reserves from the United States signal a weakening of the U.S. dollar's reserve status? In a FEDS note published in November 2026, Federal Reserve staff member Colin Weiss provides a data-driven negative answer by reviewing the repatriation cases of three euro area central banks—Germany, the Netherlands, and France—since 2013. The analysis shows that while these central banks transferred gold out of U.S. vaults, the share of the U.S. dollar in their foreign exchange reserves did not experience a substantial decline.

This finding is significant because it distinguishes between two different behavioral patterns. For Russia and Turkey, gold repatriation occurred simultaneously with a reduction in U.S. dollar holdings: Russia accumulated gold and reduced its dollar positions in the 2010s due to concerns over U.S. financial sanctions; Turkey moved gold stored in the United States and the United Kingdom back to its domestic territory in 2018 amid geopolitical tensions, while significantly lowering its share of dollar reserves. For these two countries, the core motivation for repatriating gold was to evade sanctions and asset freeze risks, and since U.S. dollar assets themselves are tools of sanction, the two decisions were logically consistent.

The situation in the euro area is different. Between 2013 and 2017, Germany transferred approximately one-fifth of its gold held in the United States to domestic vaults, maintaining its share of dollar foreign exchange reserves at around 90% during this period, and currently exceeding 80%. In 2014, the Netherlands repatriated about two-fifths of its U.S.-custodied gold to Amsterdam, with its dollar share remaining stable at approximately 83%. From 2025 to early 2026, France moved all its U.S.-held gold back home, with its dollar share stabilizing at 60%. Weiss notes in a footnote that the official statements from these central banks regarding gold relocation do not list sanctions or expropriation risks as primary motivations.

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Weiss explains why the custodial location of gold and the share of dollar reserves are two decisions that can be decoupled. As a reserve asset, gold can help evade financial sanctions and asset seizures, but this advantage only holds if the gold is not stored within the jurisdiction of the government imposing sanctions. Meanwhile, the share of the U.S. dollar in foreign exchange reserves depends on sanctions risk, but also on the size and strength of the U.S. economy, as well as the unmatched depth and liquidity of U.S. financial markets. For euro area central banks, the economic benefits of allocating reserves to U.S. dollar assets appear to outweigh potential costs, meaning that even after relocating gold, there was no trigger for reducing dollar holdings.

It should be noted that this FEDS note represents the personal academic analysis of Federal Reserve Board staff and does not reflect the policy position of the Federal Reserve. Weiss himself acknowledges that the Netherlands did see a 10-percentage-point decline in its dollar share when it moved gold to London in 2026, although this level remains higher than the 2018 low and the dollar still dominates Dutch foreign exchange reserves. Additionally, a footnote mentions inconsistencies between the Netherlands Bank's annual report and the IMF's IRFCL monthly data after 2022, advising readers to exercise caution when interpreting specific figures.

Sources

  • federalreserve.gov↗
Topic

欧元区央行黄金迁回

自2013年起,德国、荷兰和法国等欧元区央行陆续将黄金储备从美国迁出。美联储工作人员Colin Weiss在FEDS笔记中指出,尽管这些央行减少了在美国的黄金托管,但其外汇储备中的美元占比并未显著下降,这与俄罗斯和土耳其在迁金同时大幅减持美…

5 steps1 piecesUpdated 2026-11-10 19:10

How it got here

  1. 2013-01-01德国开始将约五分之一的在美黄金迁回国内,至2017年完成。federalreserve.gov ↗
  2. 2014-11-21荷兰将约五分之二的在美黄金迁回阿姆斯特丹。federalreserve.gov ↗
  3. 2025-07-01法国开始将其剩余的美联储托管黄金迁出,至2026年初完成全部撤出。federalreserve.gov ↗

What is still unsettled

  • 其他欧元区国家(如意大利、西班牙)是否会跟进大规模迁金行动?
  • 地缘政治紧张局势进一步升级是否会导致美元在外汇储备中的实际占比出现结构性下降?
  • 伦敦作为新的黄金托管中心,其基础设施能否承受更多央行的集中需求?
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