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NewsStructural2 min readDisconfirmAI Editorial

The Big Picture author Barry Ritholtz argues that the November US stock market crash was caused by mechanical forced liquidations of quantitative funds, not political reaction

In an article published on November 9, 2026, The Big Picture independent blog author Barry Ritholtz refutes the mainstream narrative attributing the US stock market crash to midterm election results, arguing that the true driver was the forced liquidation of crowded leveraged growth positions in multi-strategy hedge funds (commonly known as pod shops).

2026-11-10 01:00 GMT+8

Barry Ritholtz is the author of the independent blog 'The Big Picture' and has long been critical of financial media's habit of post-hoc attribution. In his article published on November 9, 2026, he offered an explanation for the massive sell-off in the United States stock market last Thursday that stood in stark contrast to the mainstream narrative.

His core judgment was that the true driver of Thursday's crash was the forced liquidation of crowded leveraged growth positions within multi-strategy hedge funds (commonly known as pod shops), rather than election results.

The structure of these funds warrants further elaboration. Institutions such as Citadel ($77 billion in assets under management), Millennium ($98 billion), Point72 ($55.5 billion), and Balyasny ($37 billion) are composed internally of hundreds of semi-autonomous trading teams—known as pods—that share a centralized, real-time risk control system which automatically triggers hard stop-losses when drawdown limits are breached.

Barry Ritholtz identified three potential triggering factors and provided his own prioritization. First were rumors regarding ING's sale of approximately $500 million in data center loans—he explicitly believed this alone was insufficient to cause panic but acknowledged that sometimes all it takes to ignite a room full of flammable gas is a small spark. Second was the rebalancing of leveraged ETFs, estimated at around $50 billion to $58 billion. Third, and what he considered the most significant factor, was the large-scale forced liquidation of leveraged growth positions by major multi-strategy hedge funds.

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The article also acknowledged the boundaries of the evidence. Regarding the claim that 108 trading teams were liquidated, the author labeled it as circulating rumors and noted that this might help explain the record-breaking $2.5 trillion in market capitalization evaporation.

Finally, Barry Ritholtz quoted Cliff Asness's summary ten years after the 2007 Quant Quake: crashes are essentially bank runs, and even genius physicists find it very difficult to predict social panic, let alone determine its magnitude relative to others. This judgment itself represents the methodological boundary of the article—understanding the mechanism does not equate to being able to predict when the next one will occur.

Sources

  • ritholtz.comThe Big Picture↗
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