Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter 1977: Why Return on Equity Is More Important Than Earnings Per Share?
In the 1977 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, Warren Buffett delves into the correct standards for measuring management's economic performance.
In the 1977 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, Warren Buffett delves into the correct standards for measuring management's economic performance. He criticized most companies for simply defining "record" earnings as a new high in earnings per share (EPS). Buffett pointed out that because companies typically increase their equity base year after year, if a company's equity capital increases by 10% while EPS grows by only 5%, such management performance is not particularly noteworthy. He argued that a more appropriate measure is the return on equity capital (Return on Equity). In 1977, Berkshire's operating return on beginning-of-year equity capital was 19%; although EPS grew by 37%, the beginning capital also increased by 24%, making the EPS growth appear less impressive than it seemed on the surface. This viewpoint emphasizes that investors should focus on the efficiency of capital usage rather than merely the growth of absolute profit figures.
Additionally, Buffett elaborated on the philosophy of insurance business operations in the letter, particularly regarding the importance of "tailwinds" versus "headwinds." He noted that in the insurance industry, even if some major mistakes are made, overall performance can still be quite satisfactory; whereas in the textile industry, even exceptionally excellent management yields only meager profits on average. This reveals a core investment principle: choosing businesses in favorable industry environments (tailwinds) is more critical than relying solely on superior management capabilities. He cited an example where the entire industry raised prices significantly in 1976 to offset disastrous underwriting results from 1974-75, making 1977 a beneficiary year. However, he also warned that as inflation and social inflation cause costs to rise by approximately 1% monthly, if rates cannot increase at the same pace, underwriting profits will shrink. Therefore, identifying turning points in industry cycles and adjusting strategies accordingly is crucial.