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NewsTopic · AnthropicMaterial3 min readDisconfirmAI Editorial

Anthropic Research: Scientists Use AI Where It Is Most Capable, Not Where They Consider It Most Important

Anthropic analyzed 207,000 research sessions and found that AI usage closely tracks its theoretical capabilities (related to reinforcement learning suitability and cognitive nature) rather than the stages scientists self-report as most important. Idea generation and data collection are considered critical but receive the least AI usage.

2026-11-05 08:00 GMT+8

The Anthropic research team analyzed 207,049 research sessions conducted between August and September 2026, covering 34 disciplines and 7,262 research tasks, reaching a counterintuitive conclusion: scientists use AI where it is most capable, not where they believe it is most important. In surveys, researchers ranked idea generation and hypothesis formulation as the most critical tasks for producing impactful results, with data collection ranking second. However, in actual usage, data analysis accounted for approximately one-third of Claude sessions and nearly half of Claude Code sessions, while idea generation comprised only 4.2% of Claude sessions and 2.1% of Claude Code sessions.

This usage pattern is not random; it closely follows AI's theoretical capabilities. The research team constructed capability scores for each task using a Bradley-Terry model—the same methodology used for chess Elo ratings—by having language models compare pairs of task steps to determine which AI could perform better, then aggregating these into task-level scores. The results showed that the top 20% of tasks by capability score (such as data visualization and statistical testing) received two to four times more AI usage than the time researchers spent on them would predict. Conversely, the bottom 20% of tasks (such as purifying reaction mixtures or participant observation) saw almost no usage. Capability scores were highly correlated with three factors: whether the task was suitable for reinforcement learning (i.e., whether it could be repeatedly attempted in a computational environment with immediate feedback), whether the work was predominantly cognitive rather than physical or interpersonal, and whether regulatory constraints limited AI use. In short, scientists appear to use AI where it works best.

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Based on these findings, the report constructed three acceleration scenarios. With widespread adoption of current capabilities, output in some fields could double (approximately 2x in computer science and statistics). If AI automated 75% of non-physical steps, computer science could see an 8x increase, but experimental sciences would be limited to 2–3x due to physical bottlenecks. If all non-physical steps were automated, computer science and statistics could theoretically reach 15–16x acceleration, while chemistry, biology, and other fields would remain constrained by approximately 40% of physical time. These figures are model projections rather than predictions, relying on explicit assumptions: an AI cost of $30 per hour compared to a researcher's $95 per hour, and bottleneck-shifting effects caused by task complementarity.

The report also documented that specialized tools are narrowing this gap. On Claude Science—a dedicated interface connecting multiple research databases—idea generation and hypothesis formulation accounted for 8% of sessions, approaching the share of researcher time and doubling the share seen on general-purpose Claude. In biomedical fields, over 80% of tasks on Claude Science required doctoral-level training, and more than 70% were executed with high autonomy, significantly higher than the 23.7% on Claude and 64.1% on Claude Code. This suggests that specialized infrastructure is partially breaking through the capability boundaries of general AI tools. However, caveats apply: the 528 survey respondents came from a group actively applying for AI research credits, likely representing heavier AI users than the average scientist; capability scores were generated by language models and have not been independently verified; and the acceleration scenarios assumed full diffusion, whereas real-world technology adoption typically lags behind capability.

Sources

  • anthropic.com↗
Topic

Anthropic

美国人工智能公司 Anthropic 近期发布多项研究,揭示科学家对 AI 的使用与其理论能力高度相关,而非其自认最重要的环节;同时展示自动化对齐研究员(AAR)在缓解模型失效方面超越人类专家的能力。2026年11月5日发布的报告分析20.…

4 steps1 piecesUpdated 2026-11-07 02:13

How it got here

  1. 2026-11-05Anthropic 发布《AI for scientific discovery》报告,分析20.7万次 Claude 科研会话,指出形式科学领域使用频率最高,且使用模式跟随 AI 理论能力而非科学家主观重要性排序。anthropic.com ↗
  2. 2026-08-01Anthropic Fellows Program 与 UC Berkeley 合作发表预印本论文,证实自动化对齐研究员(AAR)能有效缓解多种对齐失败,并优于人类专家基线。www-cdn.anthropic.com ↗
  3. 2026-04-14Anthropic 发布博客文章介绍 Automated Alignment Researchers (AAR) 项目,展示 Claude Opus 4.6 如何通过自主实验将弱到强监督的性能差距恢复率提升至0.97。anthropic.com ↗

What is still unsettled

  • AAR 系统在更复杂、缺乏明确公开基准的对齐问题(如可扩展监督)上的表现如何?
  • Anthropic 高达8954亿美元的算力承诺将如何影响其现金流及 IPO 后的股价稳定性?
  • 随着 AI 在科研中更多承担执行角色,科学家在构思阶段的使用障碍能否通过专用工具(如 Claude Science)有效消除?
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